Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.908136 1.117910 1.343388 1.601552 1.886853 2.190576 2.536462
2024-10-13 0.625466 0.903025 1.226873 1.623121 2.086213 2.602683 3.214927
2024-10-20 0.453213 0.749279 1.118222 1.592140 2.167506 2.828638 3.631824
2024-10-27 0.393857 0.722899 1.153292 1.724954 2.436499 3.269612 4.296994
2024-11-03 0.344165 0.696901 1.178943 1.837827 2.674980 3.670062 4.911708
2024-11-10 0.303614 0.675591 1.204944 1.947028 2.906609 4.061678 5.516946
2024-11-17 0.270303 0.658474 1.232002 2.054266 3.133780 4.447150 6.115260
2024-11-24 0.225364 0.614113 1.214748 2.098173 3.277640 4.729353 6.589195
2024-12-01 0.178982 0.557555 1.173022 2.103670 3.368320 4.943579 6.979503
2024-12-08 0.127568 0.478508 1.088274 2.042218 3.365992 5.037923 7.220602
2024-12-15 0.087481 0.408856 1.009445 1.982276 3.360390 5.124297 7.449014
2024-12-22 0.060541 0.357689 0.953964 1.950890 3.388965 5.250818 7.724439
2024-12-29 0.043725 0.327277 0.934847 1.978843 3.507847 5.506145 8.178436
2025-01-05 0.028147 0.290755 0.900436 1.981392 3.591404 5.717271 8.580229
2025-01-12 0.015191 0.249530 0.850270 1.954186 3.629229 5.865655 8.900242
2025-01-19 0.014601 0.262167 0.907712 2.100923 3.916854 6.345646 9.645147
2025-01-26 0.013071 0.268988 0.953187 2.228557 4.177802 6.791433 10.348002
2025-02-02 0.011423 0.274003 0.994850 2.350357 4.431174 7.228387 11.041304
2025-02-09 0.009876 0.278391 1.035101 2.470174 4.682420 7.663609 11.733956
2025-02-16 0.006247 0.263709 1.033031 2.519048 4.830481 7.961552 12.251304
2025-02-23 0.002797 0.239332 1.006575 2.525187 4.915077 8.174136 12.658965
2025-03-02 0.000337 0.199665 0.938752 2.456704 4.886904 8.233131 12.867094
2025-03-09 NaN 0.164770 0.874662 2.389825 4.857694 8.288312 13.068479